Pavano, Carl

- Starting Pitcher, Cleveland Indians

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Baseball Player Info

AL
Age	34
Bats or Throws	Right

Editor review

Finally Healthy, but Draftworthy?

Dollar Value:

Reviewed by ewagner25
March 06, 2010
Top 10 Reviewer

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Pavano could well turn out to be a strong value play in 2010. His numbers superficially look bad (5.10 ERA overall, for instance), but there's enough to like in the underlying numbers in which to be confident. 13-0-4.60-1.32-150 in 200 IP

Positives / Upside	Last season represented great progress for Pavano, as he showed he may have finally put his health issues behind him, coming just shy of 200 innings. He also ended the season on a positive note with 12 starts of 4.64 ERA ball and an improved strikeout rate. The last time he was completely healthy, he won 18 games with an ERA of 3.00 - his strikeout rate was better last year and walk rate the same. Plus, his opponents' BABIP was elevated, suggesting he suffered from a share of bad luck. If he can find a sweet spot somewhere between his 2004 and 2009 performances, that's a pitcher with value.
Negatives / Downside	When he's pitched since his best year in 2004, Pavano has been pretty bad on average. Before he came to the Twins last year, he had returned an ERA over 5.00; fantasy owners must wonder whether the improvement was real or simply a hot stretch as the Twins made their postseason run.
Recommendation	Buy at cost
Draft Position	352