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Wright, David Hot

 - Third Base, New York Mets
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Editor rating $ 37 User rating $ 0.0 (0)

Baseball Player Info

NL
Age 28
Bats or Throws Right

Editor review

One Wright Makes a Wrong?

Dollar Value: $ 37
SteveP Reviewed by SteveP
February 19, 2010
Top 10 Reviewer
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Last updated: February 19, 2010
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful
David Wright single-handedly sunk many a fantasy owner's hopes last season. The consensus top third baseman and frequent #3 overall selection churned out the numbers we have come to expect... from Randy Winn. Wright's numbers vs. righties have declined every season since 2006:

year BA/OBP/SLG L-R BB/K ...
2006 .321/.380/.549 0.93-0.46 ...
2007 .311/.404/.505 1.29-0.71 ...
2008 .275/.351/.484 1.42-0.62 ...
2009 .277/.361/.393 1.58-0.43 ...

This is past being a trend. Could the 27-year old star turn this around? You bet he could and I would like it to be on my dime... As long as it is only a dime. .300-90-20-90-25 in 550 AB
Positives / Upside Positive? It's no longer 2009.

Okay, okay David Wright has more going for him in 2010 than that. First is that unless the Mets are hiding something, there's nothing wrong with him. It's not the park, as he hit five home runs at home and five on the road (for the record, much of Citi-fields "problems" seem to be the injuries and failure of the Mets -- the Mets ranked higher in runs in Flushing than on the road). It's not the strikeouts (way up in 2009) because he was striking out more in May and June while he was batting .378 and .365 than he did later on... well, September he fell apart completely. LD%? GB/FB? Nope, all OK. Other than his lefty/righty splits, this looks like a real fluke. 16.7% hr/fb% in 2008 turns into 6.9% in 2009. Game set and match.

Wright is 27 and still the player he was prior to last season. Because of this, and because the Mets may be playing with a healthier line-up, we could expect a bounce back, particularly in the countables. Citi-field may suppress a few home runs (even after the center field wall is lowered to 8' from 16') but a first-round type performance seems possible. .315-100-25-110-28 in 600 AB
Negatives / Downside He's stopped hitting righties. It's a real problem, and unless he figures it out, you can't be paying the price for him. To make a long story short, if he goes for second-round prices and earns first-round then this would be nice, but it's not going to put you on the podium. But if he costs you the same price and earns like a tenth-rounder, that will surely take you off the podium. .290-85-10-85-23 in 525 AB
Recommendation Only at a discount
Draft Position 15
 
 


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Tim McLeod
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written by Tim McLeod, February 19, 2010
Great job Steve! Well researched and certainly identifies both sides of the coin in a fair and factually supported argument. Does this now mean you won't be drafting him next week in the 20-team? Keep up the good work, Tim

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