Victorino, Shane

- Outfield, Philadelphia Phillies

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Baseball Player Info

NL
Age	30
Bats or Throws	Switch

Editor review

Want a Little Hawaiian punch?

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Reviewed by SteveP
February 23, 2010
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Last updated: February 23, 2010

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The Flyin' Hawaiian is in his prime, batting at the top (or bottom) of a high powered offense. Reliability is the key for this run-scorer. If he remains in front of Ryan Howard,a he is unlikely to be a top base stealer, and if he moves down in the order, he is likely to run more but is unlikely to score 100 runs. His upside is limited. .290-95-8-55-25 in 580 AB

Positives / Upside	Victorino will likely bat at the top of one of the most potent offense in baseball and this guarantees that his excellent run rates will continue... Although Victorino has plenty of speed, one should not expect a return to 2008 steals levels unless he moves to lead-off (or to the back of the order). One does not take the bat out of Ryan Howard's hands... Vicky's strikeout rates and walk rates have trended in the right direction since becoming a full-timer, so we should not be surprised that his batting average has increased... In July of 2008, Victorino hit 7 homers, leading many people to believe that he would strengthen the power component of his game (those people probably overpaid for 2009 and hate the man now). Some players of Victorino's ilk play for contact generally, but have latent power in situations where they are asked to do so. This is almost always reflected by a decrease in ground balls. In Vicorino's mythic July, his GB/FB remained the same -- he just hit nearly 20% of his fly balls into the bleachers, which only happens with the top power hitters. In short, it was luck, and you shouldn't count on it happening again. .300-100-10-60-28 in 610 AB
Negatives / Downside	If Victorino is only hitting 10 home runs and stealing 25 bases, he's part of a very large group of players who are going for a heckuva a lot less. There's some talk that with Polanco on board Victorino moves to the bottom end of the order, in which case it's bye-bye 100 runs... It's not that Victorino does anything badly -- it's that unless he is stealing 35 bases, he doesn't do enough of anything to differentiate himself from the Marlon Byrds of this world who are going for half the price. .285-85-5-50-23 in 550 AB
Recommendation	Buy at cost
Draft Position	73