MLB - 2010 Fantasy Baseball 2/9/10 Expert Mock Draft Analysis

Posted by: buck

Tagged in: Fantasy Baseball

buck

On Tuesday, February 9, 2010, RotoCommunity.com participated in a fantasy baseball mock draft (on Mock Draft Central) with the other industry experts listed below. Player position eligibility was provided by Mock Draft Central. We assumed standard 5x5 category roto scoring with 23 starters and no reserves (for the purposes of the mock). Here's how the draft went down round-by-round, with analysis following each round.

You can go here to read about my first mock draft of the season (1/26/10). That one was a 12-teamer. Go here to read about my 15-teamer from Sunday, 1/31. Go here to read about my Tuesday, 2/2 mock. This is my fourth expert mock within the past few weeks. 

I changed up on my strategy a bit this time around; I've always been a proponent of waiting to draft starting pitchers, but thought I'd go counter to that mantra in this draft. This strategy also gave me the chance to draft (and profile) some players I wouldn't ordinarily land. All in all, not a bad team, but I'm still more comfortable holding off until rounds 5-7 to draft my first starter. On we go...

ROUND 1

Round Team Player Pos Team
R1 P1 Cobra Kai Pujols, Albert 1B STL
R1 P2 chata Ramirez, Hanley SS FLA
R1 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Rodriguez, Alex 3B NYY
R1 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Braun, Ryan OF MIL
R1 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Cabrera, Miguel 1B DET
R1 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Utley, Chase 2B PHI
R1 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Teixeira, Mark 1B NYY
R1 P8 KFFL Kemp, Matt OF LA
R1 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Howard, Ryan 1B PHI
R1 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Fielder, Prince 1B MIL
R1 P11 post409 Longoria, Evan 3B TB
R1 P12 thetrueguru Kinsler, Ian 2B TEX

Prince posted some monstrous power numbers last season, and I see no reason that should change in 2010. Kinsler's below-average BA (I'm not betting on a return to .300 or even .280 this season) would dissuade me from ever making him a first-round pick, but the attraction of his power/speed combination is undeniable.

ROUND 2

R2 P1 thetrueguru Reynolds, Mark 3B ARI
R2 P2 post409 Upton, Justin OF ARI
R2 P3 RotoCommunity_Davidson Crawford, Carl OF TB
R2 P4 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Wright, David 3B NYM
R2 P5 KFFL Mauer, Joe C MIN
R2 P6 Sonny's Toll Booth Lincecum, Tim SP SF
R2 P7 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Ellsbury, Jacoby OF BOS
R2 P8 Chris Spencer, FBTM Holliday, Matt OF STL
R2 P9 Andromeda Ascendant Sizemore, Grady OF CLE
R2 P10 Steve@optimalbaseball Tulowitzki, Troy SS COL
R2 P11 chata Phillips, Brandon 2B CIN
R2 P12 Cobra Kai Rollins, Jimmy SS PHI

Matching my No. 1 and No. 2 draft picks to complement one another is a favorite strategy of mine, and CC fits that role to a T. After two rounds, I have all of the hitting categories covered. I'm not as enamored with Brandon Phillips as MDC seems to be -- I'd rather have Dustin Pedroia, batting at the top of the Boston lineup and smacking doubles off the Monster at a .300-plus clip.

ROUND 3

R3 P1 Cobra Kai Martinez, Victor C BOS
R3 P2 chata Votto, Joey 1B CIN
R3 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Greinke, Zack SP KC
R3 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Gonzalez, Adrian 1B SD
R3 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Reyes, Jose SS NYM
R3 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Bay, Jason OF NYM
R3 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Sabathia, CC SP NYY
R3 P8 KFFL Youkilis, Kevin 1B BOS
R3 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Halladay, Roy SP PHI
R3 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Zimmerman, Ryan 3B WAS
R3 P11 post409 Werth, Jayson OF PHI
R3 P12 thetrueguru Suzuki, Ichiro OF SEA

I've said time and again -- third base dries up very quickly this year, and I wasn't willing to take the chance that Zimmerman would fall four more picks -- even though post already had a third baseman in the fold. I'm not sure where Sonny's going... three rounds in and still no outfielder (in a five-outfielder league, remember) and zero team speed. Hmmmmm...

ROUND 4

R4 P1 thetrueguru Sandoval, Pablo 3B SF
R4 P2 post409 Morneau, Justin 1B MIN
R4 P3 RotoCommunity_Davidson Hernandez, Felix SP SEA
R4 P4 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Cano, Robinson 2B NYY
R4 P5 KFFL Pedroia, Dustin 2B BOS
R4 P6 Sonny's Toll Booth Haren, Dan SP ARI
R4 P7 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Roberts, Brian 2B BAL
R4 P8 Chris Spencer, FBTM McCann, Brian C ATL
R4 P9 Andromeda Ascendant Santana, Johan SP NYM
R4 P10 Steve@optimalbaseball Verlander, Justin SP DET
R4 P11 chata Hamilton, Josh OF TEX
R4 P12 Cobra Kai Dunn, Adam OF WAS

Sonny, one so true, what the heck is up with you? Haren's a fine starting pitcher (in the first half, anyway) but Sonny seems to be ignoring some key factors in this year's talent pool. I can't wait to see how this turns out. I took Felix here, but I reckon that I would never do that when it counted. Pedroia would probably have been my man here, but as I said in the opening, I'm trying something different.

ROUND 5

R5 P1 Cobra Kai Hill, Aaron 2B TOR
R5 P2 chata Lind, Adam OF TOR
R5 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Upton, B.J. OF TB
R5 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Wainwright, Adam SP STL
R5 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Markakis, Nick OF BAL
R5 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Lee, Cliff SP SEA
R5 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Berkman, Lance 1B HOU
R5 P8 KFFL Granderson, Curtis OF NYY
R5 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Lee, Carlos OF HOU
R5 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Jeter, Derek SS NYY
R5 P11 post409 Lester, Jon SP BOS
R5 P12 thetrueguru Cruz, Nelson OF TEX

I was very pleasantly surprised to see Jeter fall to me here. Sure, he's in the twilight of his career, but there have some awfully beautiful pictures made at sunset. Nelson Cruz seems to be earning a lot of love this year, but not from Yours Truly -- that .232 he batted on the road last season makes him too high-maintenance for me to stomach.

ROUND 6

R6 P1 thetrueguru Broxton, Jonathan RP LA
R6 P2 post409 Peavy, Jake SP CHW
R6 P3 RotoCommunity_Davidson Zobrist, Ben 2B TB
R6 P4 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Ethier, Andre OF LA
R6 P5 KFFL Vazquez, Javier SP NYY
R6 P6 Sonny's Toll Booth Morales, Kendry 1B ANA
R6 P7 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Bourn, Michael OF HOU
R6 P8 Chris Spencer, FBTM Ramirez, Aramis 3B CHC
R6 P9 Andromeda Ascendant Ramirez, Manny OF LA
R6 P10 Steve@optimalbaseball Choo, Shin-Soo OF CLE
R6 P11 chata Hanson, Tommy SP ATL
R6 P12 Cobra Kai Victorino, Shane OF PHI

I'm a big believer that Zobrist's breakout 2009 campaign was no fluke. He's a big guy, and it looked as though he tweaked his swing a bit in mid '08 in order to lift the ball a bit more. His power numbers have been up since then, and I believe that they are there to stay.This feels a tad early for Hanson, Bourn and Peavy. Spencer grabs the last of the current third base tier.

ROUND 7

R7 P1 Cobra Kai Johnson, Josh SP FLA
R7 P2 chata Nathan, Joe RP MIN
R7 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Papelbon, Jonathan RP BOS
R7 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Stewart, Ian 3B COL
R7 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Rivera, Mariano RP NYY
R7 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Soriano, Alfonso OF CHC
R7 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Abreu, Bobby OF ANA
R7 P8 KFFL Pena, Carlos 1B TB
R7 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday McLouth, Nate OF ATL
R7 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Carpenter, Chris SP STL
R7 P11 post409 Wieters, Matt C BAL
R7 P12 thetrueguru Cain, Matt SP SF

The obvious injury risk is there with Carpenter, but since I had committed to going for starting pitching early, he makes a good choice here. When he's healthy, Carpenter is among the top-five starting pitchers in the game. He would have been long gone by now if not for the injury worries. I like Sonny's pick of Abreu, but I wonder if he's arriving at the party a little too late.

ROUND 8

R8 P1 thetrueguru Gonzalez, Carlos OF COL
R8 P2 post409 Kershaw, Clayton SP LA
R8 P3 RotoCommunity_Davidson Jones, Adam OF BAL
R8 P4 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Beckett, Josh SP BOS
R8 P5 KFFL Nolasco, Ricky SP FLA
R8 P6 Sonny's Toll Booth Rodriguez, Francisco RP NYM
R8 P7 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Beltran, Carlos OF NYM
R8 P8 Chris Spencer, FBTM Butler, Billy 1B KC
R8 P9 Andromeda Ascendant Hamels, Cole SP PHI
R8 P10 Steve@optimalbaseball Uggla, Dan 2B FLA
R8 P11 chata Pence, Hunter OF HOU
R8 P12 Cobra Kai Jimenez, Ubaldo SP COL

The middle rounds are a bit squirrely this year, and I think that I'm a lot happier prospecting for closers here than for starting outfielders. I think Jones is in for a breakout season, though, and I'm not shy about drafting him as my OF3. Unfortunately, he winds up being my No. 2 in this draft, and that's a direct result of going for pitching early. I think Billy Butler may just have a monster campaign this year, and he'll be someone I'll target if I miss out on a first baseman early. Nolasco is a shrewd pick -- his '09 numbers were blown up by an awful first two months... and he still wound up fanning 195 batters.

ROUND 9

R9 P1 Cobra Kai Lee, Derrek 1B CHC
R9 P2 chata Gallardo, Yovani SP MIL
R9 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Kubel, Jason OF MIN
R9 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Ibanez, Raul OF PHI
R9 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Bell, Heath RP SD
R9 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Figgins, Chone 3B SEA
R9 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Young, Michael 3B TEX
R9 P8 KFFL Ramirez, Alexei SS CHW
R9 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Cordero, Francisco RP CIN
R9 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Soria, Joakim RP KC
R9 P11 post409 McCutchen, Andrew OF PIT
R9 P12 thetrueguru Drew, Stephen SS ARI

I received another pleasant surprise here, as Soria falls to me at pick #91. The Royals should be an improved team this year, and Soria has been lights-out the past three seasons. I don't believe in overpaying for saves, but that doesn't mean I won't snag a bargain when one falls my way.

ROUND 10

R10 P1 thetrueguru Lackey, John SP BOS
R10 P2 post409 Morgan, Nyjer OF WAS
R10 P3 RotoCommunity_Davidson Hunter, Torii OF ANA
R10 P4 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Bruce, Jay OF CIN
R10 P5 KFFL Bailey, Andrew RP OAK
R10 P6 Sonny's Toll Booth Rios, Alex OF CHW
R10 P7 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Beckham, Gordon 3B CHW
R10 P8 Chris Spencer, FBTM Lopez, Jose 2B SEA
R10 P9 Andromeda Ascendant Quentin, Carlos OF CHW
R10 P10 Steve@optimalbaseball Fuentes, Brian RP ANA
R10 P11 chata Billingsley, Chad SP LA
R10 P12 Cobra Kai Wilson, Brian RP SF

Hunter is a decent enough choice here, with modest power, average and steals potential, but I feel like I'm behind the eight ball in this five-outfielder format. If this had been my OF4 instead of a #3, I would have been tempted to pull the trigger on Bruce, who I think is in for a big season. Bailey represents good value here, and he is probably the last closer I consider a true #1 Fantasy reliever.

ROUND 11

R11 P1 Cobra Kai Span, Denard OF MIN
R11 P2 chata Street, Huston RP COL
R11 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Davis, Chris 1B TEX
R11 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Webb, Brandon SP ARI
R11 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Hawpe, Brad OF COL
R11 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Damon, Johnny OF FA
R11 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Bartlett, Jason SS TB
R11 P8 KFFL Shields, James SP TB
R11 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Jurrjens, Jair SP ATL
R11 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Posada, Jorge C NYY
R11 P11 post409 Andrus, Elvis SS TEX
R11 P12 thetrueguru Soto, Geovany C CHC

The two-catcher requirement in NFBC forces your hand early on backstops, so once again I say, "Hip-hip... Jorge!." Sonny lands some more speed with Bartlett, who I'm not as sold on as I am Zobrist. The steals should be there in any event, but banking on another .320 season with double-digit bombs might be a bit of a reach.

ROUND 12

R12 P1 thetrueguru Soriano, Rafael RP TB
R12 P2 post409 Valverde, Jose RP DET
R12 P3 RotoCommunity_Davidson Cuddyer, Michael OF MIN
R12 P4 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Anderson, Brett SP OAK
R12 P5 KFFL Marmol, Carlos RP CHC
R12 P6 Sonny's Toll Booth Furcal, Rafael SS LA
R12 P7 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Garza, Matt SP TB
R12 P8 Chris Spencer, FBTM Rodriguez, Wandy SP HOU
R12 P9 Andromeda Ascendant Wagner, Billy RP ATL
R12 P10 Steve@optimalbaseball Burnett, A.J. SP NYY
R12 P11 chata Tejada, Miguel SS BAL
R12 P12 Cobra Kai Floyd, Gavin SP CHW

Cuddyer is an underrated slugger whose health concerns caused him to fall this far. In hindsight, I probably should have gone with Wandy Rodriguez here, who I thought was an outstanding value in the 12th round. I have no idea what to make of Tejada, and I'm staying away from him unless my need is extremely dire and the price extremely right.

ROUND 13

R13 P1 Cobra Kai Beltre, Adrian 3B BOS
R13 P2 chata Suzuki, Kurt C OAK
R13 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Aardsma, David RP SEA
R13 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Hoffman, Trevor RP MIL
R13 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Oswalt, Roy SP HOU
R13 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Delgado, Carlos 1B FA
R13 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Cust, Jack OF OAK
R13 P8 KFFL Escobar, Yunel SS ATL
R13 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Qualls, Chad RP ARI
R13 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Baker, Scott SP MIN
R13 P11 post409 Cabrera, Asdrubal SS CLE
R13 P12 thetrueguru Martin, Russell C LA

Though I was still chastising myself for letting Wandy slide by last round, Baker makes a nice consolation prize. His command is impeccable, and the 3.28 ERA he posted after the Break last season leads me to think that big things are in store for him in 2010. My man-crush on Roy Oswalt is well-documented, but even I felt that he was taken a bit early here. That being said, if he has another Oz-like season, Round 13 will look like a bargain.

ROUND 14

R14 P1 thetrueguru Price, David SP TB
R14 P2 post409 Scherzer, Max SP DET
R14 P3 RotoCommunity_Davidson Franklin, Ryan RP STL
R14 P4 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Cabrera, Orlando SS CIN
R14 P5 KFFL Guerrero, Vladimir DH TEX
R14 P6 Sonny's Toll Booth Weaver, Jered SP ANA
R14 P7 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Lilly, Ted SP CHC
R14 P8 Chris Spencer, FBTM Borbon, Julio OF TEX
R14 P9 Andromeda Ascendant de la Rosa, Jorge SP COL
R14 P10 Steve@optimalbaseball Kendrick, Howie 2B ANA
R14 P11 chata Jenks, Bobby RP CHW
R14 P12 Cobra Kai Francisco, Frank RP TEX

With no knock-me-over hitters on the board, I went with a second closer -- but looking back, perhaps I should have passed on Franklin. We'll see. Perhaps Franklin just wore down last season, but LaRoche and Konerko look like better picks through the 20/20 vision of hindsight.

ROUND 15

R15 P1 Cobra Kai LaRoche, Adam 1B ARI
R15 P2 chata Konerko, Paul 1B CHW
R15 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Doumit, Ryan C PIT
R15 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Aybar, Erick SS ANA
R15 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Jones, Garrett OF PIT
R15 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Molina, Bengie C SF
R15 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Montero, Miguel C ARI
R15 P8 KFFL Wells, Vernon OF TOR
R15 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Loney, James 1B LA
R15 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Napoli, Mike C ANA
R15 P11 post409 Cantu, Jorge 1B FLA
R15 P12 thetrueguru Davis, Rajai OF OAK

I really like Napoli -- he has nice pop, and his .270-something average isn't a stat killer. Loney, whose lack of power causes him to tumble in drafts, was a nice pick by Ivar. Loney's a virtual lock for a .280-plus BA and 90 RBI. Rajai Davis is another favorite of mine, as I regularly attend classes at the School of Cheap Speed. Right now, go and look at Davis' numbers compared to Jacoby Ellsbury's during the second half of last season. Virtually identical, aren't they? Can he do it again? I don't know -- but the price of admission to find out is certainly right.

ROUND 16

R16 P1 thetrueguru Scutaro, Marco SS BOS
R16 P2 post409 Nunez, Leo RP FLA
R16 P3 RotoCommunity_Davidson Hudson, Orlando 2B MIN
R16 P4 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Rasmus, Colby OF STL
R16 P5 KFFL Jones, Chipper 3B ATL
R16 P6 Sonny's Toll Booth Danks, John SP CHW
R16 P7 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Iannetta, Chris C COL
R16 P8 Chris Spencer, FBTM Hart, Corey OF MIL
R16 P9 Andromeda Ascendant Sanchez, Jonathan SP SF
R16 P10 Steve@optimalbaseball Jackson, Edwin SP ARI
R16 P11 chata Pierre, Juan OF CHW
R16 P12 Cobra Kai Gutierrez, Franklin OF SEA

I made a bad pick here. I think the O-Dog will post solid numbers at the top of the Minnesota order, but those numbers were available later on in the draft. If I had it to do over again, Edwin Jackson would have been my pick here, and someone like Ryan Theriot would have followed at the end of the draft. Cobra Kai scores a great pick with Gutierrez, who just oozes 20/20 potential, even in Seattle's spacious Safeco Field.

ROUND 17

R17 P1 Cobra Kai Slowey, Kevin SP MIN
R17 P2 chata Zambrano, Carlos SP CHC
R17 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Dempster, Ryan SP CHC
R17 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Ludwick, Ryan OF STL
R17 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Weeks, Rickie 2B MIL
R17 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Feliz, Neftali SP TEX
R17 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Dye, Jermaine OF FA
R17 P8 KFFL Kazmir, Scott SP ANA
R17 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Shoppach, Kelly C TB
R17 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Helton, Todd 1B COL
R17 P11 post409 Coghlan, Chris OF FLA
R17 P12 thetrueguru McGehee, Casey 3B MIL

Helton's power is all but gone, but he's a decent corner infielder if you have already loaded up on bombers. Helton will almost certainly hit .300-plus again, which should offset the rather pedestrian BA of some of my power guys. I think Kazmir will surprise a lot of people this year. I'm convinced that most of his problems were in his head, and if Angels pitching coach Mike Butcher can get Kaz back on track, look out.

ROUND 18

R18 P1 thetrueguru Porcello, Rick SP DET
R18 P2 post409 Ordonez, Magglio OF DET
R18 P3 RotoCommunity_Davidson Reimold, Nolan OF BAL
R18 P4 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Rivera, Juan OF ANA
R18 P5 KFFL Gomez, Carlos OF MIL
R18 P6 Sonny's Toll Booth Wolf, Randy SP MIL
R18 P7 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Howell, J.P. RP TB
R18 P8 Chris Spencer, FBTM Molina, Yadier C STL
R18 P9 Andromeda Ascendant Cabrera, Everth SS SD
R18 P10 Steve@optimalbaseball Cameron, Mike OF BOS
R18 P11 chata Ortiz, David DH BOS
R18 P12 Cobra Kai Prado, Martin 2B ATL

I drew some hoots (good "you stole my pick, you &*&^* you" kind of hoots) from the room with this one. Reimold showed a ton of promise last year, mashing out .279-15-45 with eight steals in just 358 at bats. B-more's outfield is a crowded house, but I can envision Reimold making a run at a 20/20 season this year... and apparently I'm not alone in that belief. I liked the Ordonez and Prado picks, but Howell is a bit of a reach. The league caught up to his junk late last season, and I think Dan Wheeler will be the next in line for saves if Soriano struggles.

ROUND 19

R19 P1 Cobra Kai Ross, Cody OF FLA
R19 P2 chata Harden, Rich SP TEX
R19 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Buchholz, Clay SP BOS
R19 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Madson, Ryan RP PHI
R19 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Capps, Matt RP WAS
R19 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Peralta, Jhonny 3B CLE
R19 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Matsuzaka, Daisuke SP BOS
R19 P8 KFFL Gonzalez, Mike RP BAL
R19 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Polanco, Placido 2B PHI
R19 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Sheets, Ben SP OAK
R19 P11 post409 Liriano, Francisco SP MIN
R19 P12 thetrueguru Stubbs, Drew OF CIN

I was very surprised to see Sheets still on the board given the company I was keeping this night. I've extolled the virtues of Big Ben before, and I stand by it -- Billy Beane saw enough to hand over $10 mil, and I'm not going to argue with Moneyball Man. Gonzalez should be a great source of cheap saves in most fantasy drafts this year, but it will take more than a dominant Winter League showing to sell me on a Liriano comeback.

ROUND 20

R20 P1 thetrueguru Lindstrom, Matt RP HOU
R20 P2 post409 Wood, Kerry RP CLE
R20 P3 RotoCommunity_Davidson Escobar, Alcides SS MIL
R20 P4 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Hudson, Tim SP ATL
R20 P5 KFFL Willingham, Josh OF WAS
R20 P6 Sonny's Toll Booth Chamberlain, Joba SP NYY
R20 P7 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Pettitte, Andy SP NYY
R20 P8 Chris Spencer, FBTM Correia, Kevin SP SD
R20 P9 Andromeda Ascendant Johnson, Kelly 2B ARI
R20 P10 Steve@optimalbaseball Matsui, Hideki DH ANA
R20 P11 chata Pierzynski, A.J. C CHW
R20 P12 Cobra Kai Dotel, Octavio RP PIT

I kicked myself after the fact for not taking Hudson here, but Escobar should rack up a few dozen steals for the Brew Crew this season and help ease my pain. I'm over Joba Chamberlain, and I'm staying away from drafting him in most standard leagues. That's a nice, late pick on Pierzynski, and Dotel should be another fine sources of saves at a bargain price.

ROUND 21

R21 P1 Cobra Kai Cueto, Johnny SP CIN
R21 P2 chata Lidge, Brad RP PHI
R21 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Johnson, Nick 1B NYY
R21 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Kouzmanoff, Kevin 3B OAK
R21 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Kuroda, Hiroki SP LA
R21 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Rodney, Fernando RP ANA
R21 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Hairston, Scott OF SD
R21 P8 KFFL Santana, Carlos C CLE
R21 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Gregg, Kevin RP TOR
R21 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Hughes, Philip SP NYY
R21 P11 post409 Sizemore, Scott 2B DET
R21 P12 thetrueguru Bedard, Erik SP SEA

As much as I'm avoiding Joba, I'm grabbing Phil Hughes late in just about every draft. He has that intangible "something" -- mound presence, let's call it -- that just screams "ace". Oh, by the way, he also has some positively wicked stuff, and he's only 23 years old. Hopefully, Messrs. Girardi and Cashman will see the light and hand Phil the ball as the Yanks' No. 5 starter this season. Lidge is a scary proposition, but he's a risk well worth taking this late in your draft.

I have been busting Sonny's chops a bit over his lack of bellying up to the bar when all of the top outfielders were flying off the board, and here's why... his pick of Hairston sets his starting outfield as follows: Abreu, Rios, Cust, the currently unemployed Jermaine Dye and Hairston. Yikes. Granted, it's only a mock, but an ugly assemblage like that should tell the tale loud and clear -- in the NFBC format, DO NOT wait to grab a few top-notch pasture ponies, as they'll be gone before you know it. If you are going to wait on position players, middle infield looks to be the deepest position(s) on the board. Heck, a perennial 20-steal talent like Ryan Theriot and a 20-homer guy like Clint Barmes both went undrafted in this mock. All right, class dismissed. Sorry, Sonny -- I hereby grant you free license to work over my picks unmercifully whenever you'd like.

ROUND 22

R22 P1 thetrueguru Saunders, Joe SP ANA
R22 P2 post409 Happ, J.A. SP PHI
R22 P3 RotoCommunity_Davidson Strasburg, Stephen SP WAS
R22 P4 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Santana, Ervin SP ANA
R22 P5 KFFL Buehrle, Mark SP CHW
R22 P6 Sonny's Toll Booth Izturis, Maicer 2B ANA
R22 P7 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Niemann, Jeff SP TB
R22 P8 Chris Spencer, FBTM Harang, Aaron SP CIN
R22 P9 Andromeda Ascendant Varitek, Jason C BOS
R22 P10 Steve@optimalbaseball Byrd, Marlon OF CHC
R22 P11 chata Raburn, Ryan OF DET
R22 P12 Cobra Kai Baker, John C FLA

Here's another player I'm surprised to see hanging around. The Nats say that Strasburg will probably open the season in the minors, but I'm not buying it. The kid is a polished prospect with not only three years of NCAA experience, but a healthy dose of international exposure as well. The upside here is enormous, making the fireballer well worth a speculative pick as your draft winds down. I like Marlon Byrd, but I need to see him mash somewhere other than Arlington to be a big believer in his fantasy prospects.

ROUND 23

R23 P1 Cobra Kai League, Brandon RP SEA
R23 P2 chata Gordon, Alex 3B KC
R23 P3 Steve@optimalbaseball Ruiz, Carlos C PHI
R23 P4 Andromeda Ascendant Rodriguez, Ivan C WAS
R23 P5 Chris Spencer, FBTM Volquez, Edinson SP CIN
R23 P6 Jason Swist (Fantasy Baseball Search) Feldman, Scott SP TEX
R23 P7 Sonny's Toll Booth Olivo, Miguel C COL
R23 P8 KFFL Lowe, Derek SP ATL
R23 P9 Ivar Anderson-Fantasy Gameday Navarro, Dioner C TB
R23 P10 RotoCommunity_Davidson Davis, Wade SP TB
R23 P11 post409 Marson, Lou C CLE
R23 P12 thetrueguru DeRosa, Mark 3B SF

Davis is flying under the radar, but the fact that he posted a nifty 3.72 ERA with 36 strikeouts in 36.3 innings last season should serve notice that he brings a strong skill set to the table. I'm not sure that I would draft Davis in a standard 21-player format, but in leagues with rosters of 23 players or more, he's absolutely worth grabbing late. I would much rather have Davis and his upside than a roster filled with the Joe Blantons and Gil Meches of the world. I was pleasantly surprised to see that the Yahoo experts agree with me, ranking Davis No. 45 on their preseason rankings -- just behind Carlos Zambrano.

All told, this is a team that could potentially finish dead last or win the league going away -- depending upon how well my kid pitchers perform. It is not the type of team I would normally end up with, and I'm fairly convinced that rounds 5-7 is the perfect time to grab your top starting pitcher, with your No. 2 guy coming proportionately earlier than you took your No. 1.

ALSO

Our 2010 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit can help you win your league this year. And don't forget, we will promptly answer any questions you may have about your team, line-up, waiver wire, and trades in our FORUM. It just takes a minute to REGISTER a username and password for our site (allowing you to download draft kit files and post reviews, comments, blogs, and forum topics).

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